Previsión del Ibex 35 para la semana del 20/9/10. ¿11.000 de qué? A por el soporte.

domingo, septiembre 19, 2010

De entrada, de nuevo las noticias han reventado una buena semana y la tentativa a la resistencia de 10.800, lo que de nuevo pone de manifiesto lo oportuno de las malas noticias (gracias además a los señores de Moody´s por dar malas noticias de España en momentos clave de la bolsa).
Sin embargo hay quien piensa que es una corrección, y realmente, la bajada última nos mantiene por encima de la directriz bajista que traíamos desde Enero, aunque también hay varias formas de ver esa directriz.
Por lo tanto, la clave estará en no perder los 10.550, incluso superar los 10.600 para seguir pensando en positivo, si bien la prudencia debe seguir siendo la prioridad de nuestros movimientos.
Hay buenas señales como la superación de la media móvil de 200 sesiones por la de 50, además de que la perforación a la baja de la primera por las cotizaciones no tiene aún entidad.
La confirmación de la perforación podría ser una mala noticia, porque confirmaría también la vuelta a la directriz bajista, aunque parece que mientras no tengamos malas noticias, realmente la bolsa tiene ganas.
Además parece que los mercados exteriores, sobre todo Wall Street, si he entendido bien, están acompañando, aunque si dejan de hacerlo tendremos problemas, y a eso sí que hay que estar atento.

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